Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.438517 0.513772 0.595916 0.691958 0.800876 0.920260 1.060709
2025-01-26 0.324802 0.427303 0.550145 0.706903 0.900186 1.129182 1.419343
2025-02-02 0.251390 0.365425 0.513332 0.716165 0.983578 1.320237 1.771675
2025-02-09 0.200205 0.317991 0.481703 0.720450 1.053317 1.493725 2.111785
2025-02-16 0.167719 0.288214 0.466147 0.739694 1.139471 1.690616 2.493342
2025-02-23 0.139986 0.259167 0.445411 0.745939 1.204214 1.859544 2.845653
2025-03-02 0.111662 0.223083 0.407426 0.719509 1.215545 1.950288 3.090742
2025-03-09 0.097567 0.208118 0.400117 0.738471 1.294961 2.143230 3.493266
2025-03-16 0.084611 0.192515 0.388982 0.748812 1.360113 2.317336 3.876645
2025-03-23 0.077839 0.187327 0.394949 0.787854 1.473751 2.572078 4.395938
2025-03-30 0.066386 0.170371 0.376852 0.782164 1.511341 2.707971 4.737063
2025-04-06 0.056273 0.154098 0.357486 0.771378 1.538132 2.826558 5.055487
2025-04-13 0.047769 0.139844 0.340437 0.763670 1.570856 2.959146 5.408228
2025-04-20 0.042507 0.132172 0.335832 0.779446 1.647218 3.170032 5.901896
2025-04-27 0.037487 0.123953 0.328788 0.789357 1.713120 3.366447 6.381316
2025-05-04 0.032794 0.115460 0.319778 0.793962 1.768818 3.547599 6.843284
2025-05-11 0.029718 0.110720 0.318643 0.814847 1.857226 3.791335 7.424367
2025-05-18 0.026235 0.103896 0.311460 0.821623 1.917817 3.987522 7.930909
2025-05-25 0.021534 0.091942 0.289597 0.792919 1.903891 4.045113 8.193448
2025-06-01 0.019636 0.088616 0.289300 0.813512 1.992974 4.299537 8.821017
2025-06-08 0.017578 0.084151 0.285263 0.824739 2.062871 4.520747 9.397241
2025-06-15 0.016830 0.084260 0.293801 0.867115 2.202352 4.882391 10.246812
2025-06-22 0.014568 0.077927 0.283137 0.860941 2.235370 5.038012 10.718958